Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.