Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.