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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 22.87% ( | 25.22% ( | 51.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% | 38.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( | 20.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.87% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 51.9% |