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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 59.4% ( | 23.49% ( | 17.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( | 53.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( | 48.5% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( | 44.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( | 80.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.4% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 17.11% |