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League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-1)
Webster (45')
Dodgson (79'), Crocombe (90'), Godwin-Malife (90+2')
Vancooten (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
51.38% (0.925 0.92)26.44% (-0.321 -0.32)22.18% (-0.608 -0.61)
Both teams to score 44.79% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.575 0.58)58.43% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.446 0.45)79.02% (-0.449 -0.45)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.65900000000001 0.66)22.87% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.963 0.96)56.62% (-0.966 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.279 -0.28)41.92% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.243 -0.24)78.37% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 51.37%
    Burton Albion 22.18%
    Draw 26.43%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
87.0%
Burton Albion
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
0-4
Stevenage

Bran (2'), Willis (20'), Gilligan (72'), Whitfield (74')
Freestone (6'), Simpson (54'), Aboh (78'), White (83')
Piergianni (62')
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Burton Albion
0-0
Stevenage
Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report