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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 33.8% | 27.47% ( | 38.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% | 56.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% | 77.4% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% | 31.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% | 67.71% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( | 28.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% | 64.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.72% |