Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.