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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 34.99% ( | 26.51% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( | 74.12% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( | 64.44% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( | 26.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( | 61.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.49% |