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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 46.25% ( | 26.73% ( | 27.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( | 56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( | 77.09% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( | 24.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( | 58.51% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( | 36.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( | 72.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.02% |