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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Lincoln City

Birmingham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Dowell (71' pen.)
Stansfield (23'), Klarer (32'), Allsop (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrandles (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 4-1 Crawley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
68.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)19.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)11.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 41.96% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.129 -0.13)50.31% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.115 -0.12)72.26% (0.116 0.12)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)13.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)40.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.55% (-0.211 -0.21)51.44% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.36% (-0.14 -0.14)85.64% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 68.77%
    Lincoln City 11.39%
    Draw 19.82%
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 13.92% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 68.77%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 11.39%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Lincoln

Birmingham City
91.2%
Draw
2.9%
Lincoln City
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12pm
Third Round
Birmingham
2-1
Lincoln
Yokoyama (1'), Dykes (77')
Makama (90' pen.)
Montsma (83')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Lincoln
1-3
Birmingham
Anderson (14', 79'), Thor Willumsson (52')
Klarer (47'), Cochrane (50'), Iwata (85')