Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.