League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
4 - 1
Crawley

Collins (14'), Makama (24'), Jefferies (32'), Gardner (88')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Doyle (6')
Radcliffe (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Lincoln
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Crawley Town
54.8% ( 0.45)	23.56% ( -0.34)	21.64% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

1.31)

48.05% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

1.19)

70.22% (

-1.19)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

0.65)

17.41% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15% (

1.12)

47.84% (

-1.12)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

0.64)

36.58% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

0.64)

73.37% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 54.8%

Crawley Town 21.64%

Draw 23.55%

Lincoln City	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.64%