/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
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James Collins
14'
-
Jovon Makama
24'
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Dom Jefferies
32'
-
Joe Gardner
88'
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Kami Doyle
6'
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Ben Radcliffe
85'
Lincoln City vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result
Lincoln City
54.8%
▲
(+0.45)
Draw
23.56%
▼
(-0.35)
Crawley Town
21.64%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
52.37%
▲
(+0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.94%
▲
(+1.31)
Under 2.5
48.05%
▼
(-1.31)
Over 3.5
29.78%
▲
(+1.19)
Under 3.5
70.22%
▼
(-1.19)
Over 4.5
14.52%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 4.5
85.48%
▼
(-0.81)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5
82.59%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
17.41%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 1.5
52.15%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
47.84%
▼
(-1.12)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.42%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
36.58%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 1.5
26.63%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 1.5
73.37%
▼
(-0.64)
Score analysis
Lincoln City
54.8%
Draw
23.55%
Crawley Town
21.64%
Lincoln City
1-0
@
11.13%
▼
(-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.8%
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.8%
Draw
1-1
@
11.19%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.55%
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.55%
Crawley Town
0-1
@
6.41%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.64%
