Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.