League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 1
Birmingham

McAtee (39'), Thomason (49'), Collins (71')
McAtee (53'), Morley (61'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Osei-Tutu (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hansson (23')
Gardner-Hickman (48'), Klarer (90+9'), Harris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Birmingham City
32.39% ( -0.08)	25.44% ( -0.27)	42.17% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

1.12)

48.44% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

1.02)

70.57% (

-1.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.5)

28.31% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

0.63)

64.04% (

-0.62)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.66)

22.86% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

0.97)

56.59% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 32.39%

Birmingham City 42.17%

Draw 25.44%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.17%