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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 56.53% ( | 22.07% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( | 41.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( | 64.22% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( | 14.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( | 42.74% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( | 33.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( | 69.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.4% |