Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.