Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.