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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Reading |
| 40.03% ( | 24.76% ( | 35.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( | 22.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( | 55.72% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( | 24.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( | 59.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.21% |