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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Exeter City |
| 47.36% ( | 25.61% ( | 27.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( | 51.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( | 73.48% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( | 21.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( | 55.06% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( | 33.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% ( | 70.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.03% |