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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Crawley
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Doyle (19')
Barker (32'), Lo-Tutala (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 5-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
46.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6%72.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.02%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 46.65%
    Bristol Rovers 27.91%
    Draw 25.43%
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.91%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town
24.1%
Draw
41.4%
Bristol Rovers
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Crawley
Mola (59'), Sinclair (74')
Anderson (22'), Barker (66')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Crawley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Roles (56'), Forster (69')
Johnson (44'), Forster (90+5')
Thomas (45')
Thomas (30'), Evans (50'), Taylor (76')
Gibbons (90+4')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Crawley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Nichols (74')

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Crawley
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Hessenthaler (69')
Craig (13'), Payne (45'), Tsaroulla (89')
Anderson (41'), Collins (65')
Hoole (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm