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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 62.94% ( | 22.33% ( | 14.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( | 74.71% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( | 16.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.01% ( | 45.99% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.22% ( | 47.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.93% ( | 83.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 2-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 62.93% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.73% |