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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Makama (31', 65', 81'), Bayliss (49'), Collins (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Bristol Rovers

With Lincoln having the freedom to push for all three points, we expect them to do just that. However, a draw would prove valuable to Bristol Rovers at this stage of the season, and an early goal could lead to the visitors defending that advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
62.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 22.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.73% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 43.68% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.14% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.026 0.03)74.71% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)47.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)83.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 62.93%
    Bristol Rovers 14.73%
    Draw 22.33%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 14.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 62.93%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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