League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley3 - 0Northampton
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Exeter
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Northampton 4-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
47
We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Northampton Town
If Crawley can produce another spirited performance as they did against Exeter, then they have every chance of securing maximum points against a Northampton side merely playing for pride. The visitors will still back themselves to claim a positive result this weekend, but we feel that the hosts will get the job done to keep their survival hopes alive for a little while longer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
40.46% ( 0.1) | 24.39% ( 0) | 35.15% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
