League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 3
Leyton Orient

Quitirna (49' pen.)
Camara (30'), Hutchinson (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelman (52', 53' pen.), Donley (90+2')
Brown (11'), Beckles (69'), Ball (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Leyton Orient
28.85% ( 0.03)	24.1% ( 0.01)	47.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.88% (

-0.03)

44.12% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.5% (

-0.03)

66.5% (

0.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

28.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

64.3% (

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

-0.02)

18.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62% (

-0.04)

50.39% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 28.85%

Leyton Orient 47.05%

Draw 24.1%

Crawley Town	Draw	Leyton Orient
2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.05%