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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Leyton Orient

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Webster (60'), Burrell (64')
Lofthouse (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (10')
Jaiyesimi (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage
Thursday, March 27 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeyton Orient
28.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)26.37% (-0.012 -0.01)45.23% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.9% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.019000000000002 0.02)75.36% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)33.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.59% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.038000000000011 0.04)23.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)57.9% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.4%
    Leyton Orient 45.23%
    Draw 26.37%
Burton AlbionDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.4%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.23%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Burton Albion
30.4%
Draw
13.0%
Leyton Orient
56.5%
46
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Leyton Orient
0-0
Burton Albion
Ball (77')
Gilligan (58'), Bennett (71')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
1-2
Burton Albion
Moncur (43' pen.)
Galbraith (26')
Bennett (72'), Nsiala (76')
Nsiala (42')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm