Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.