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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 39.25% ( | 28.55% ( | 32.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.42% ( | 60.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.32% ( | 80.68% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( | 66.17% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( | 34.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( | 71.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 39.24% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.2% |