League One

League One | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Watts (29'), Mitchell (48')
Purrington (23'), Jones (39'), MacDonald (80'), Trevitt (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gape (73'), Oliver (80'), Feeney (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
46.72% ( 0.1)	25.79% ( 0.01)	27.49% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-0.11)

52.14% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14% (

-0.09)

73.86% (

0.09)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0)

22.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

-0)

55.77% (

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0.14)

33.7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65% (

-0.16)

70.35% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 46.71%

Shrewsbury Town 27.49%

Draw 25.79%

Exeter City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.49%