League One

League One | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Bolton

Sweeney (53')
McKiernan (29'), Armer (42'), Lofthouse (59'), Bennett (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morley (22', 22'), Sheehan (60')
Sheehan (47'), Murphy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
28.33% ( 0.59)	27.1% ( 0.16)	44.57% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

-0.3)

56.68% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

-0.24)

77.64% (

0.24)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

0.31)

35.45% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

0.32)

72.21% (

-0.32)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69% (

-0.5)

25.31% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

-0.7)

60.08% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 28.33%

Bolton Wanderers 44.56%

Draw 27.1%

Burton Albion	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.56%