Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.