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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 58.14% ( | 23.98% ( | 17.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( | 54.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% ( | 75.77% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( | 18.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( | 49.75% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( | 44.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.6% ( | 80.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-2 @ 3.86% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.88% |