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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage |
| 39.9% ( | 28.01% | 32.09% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% | 58.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% | 79.26% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% | 70.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.08% |