League One Gameweek 39
Mar 27, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brisbane Road
  • Charlie Kelman 12' goal

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Blackpool 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Charlie Kelman

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result

Leyton Orient 39.9% (-0.01)
Draw 28.01%
Stevenage 32.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.27%
Under 2.5 58.72% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 20.74%
Under 3.5 79.26% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.77%
Under 4.5 91.23% (-0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.76%
Over 1.5 35.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.6% (-0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 66.28%
Under 0.5 33.72% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.62%
Under 1.5 70.38% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Leyton Orient 39.89%
Draw 28.01%
Stevenage 32.08%
Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.01%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Jan 21, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Sean Clare 53' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Cooper 25' (OG)
  • yellowcard Louis Appere 63'
  • yellowcard Eli King 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 90'+11'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jordan Roberts 50' yellowcard
  • Louis Thompson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Warrington 25'
  • yellowcard Richard Wellens 26'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 31'
  • yellowcard Oliver O'Neill 84'
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Terence Vancooten 77' yellowcard
  • goal Max Sanders 16'
  • goal Max Sanders 16'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 44'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 44'
  • yellowcard Shaq Forde 83'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Brisbane Road
  • Shaq Forde 16' yellowcard
  • Ed Turns 32' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie McNeill 21'
  • goal Daniel Sweeney 44'
  • goal Nick Freeman 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 86'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jamie Reid 6' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 11' goal
  • Luke Norris 90'+1' goal
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 27, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Breyer Group Stadium