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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
| 40.07% ( | 27.43% ( | 32.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% ( | 56.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% ( | 77.49% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( | 27.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( | 63.12% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( | 68.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.49% |