Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.