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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Wrexham |
| 32.22% ( | 26.68% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( | 75.13% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( | 60.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.09% |