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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

White (20'), Reid (89'), Kemp (90+1')
Goode (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (70')
Ibrahim (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Crawley Town has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Crawley Town win it is 0-1 (6.67%).

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
52.42% (1.55 1.55)23.97% (-0.288 -0.29)23.6% (-1.267 -1.27)
Both teams to score 53.57% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (0.051000000000002 0.05)47.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05)69.87% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.614 0.61)18.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87% (1.044 1.04)49.13% (-1.049 -1.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (-1.069 -1.07)34.54% (1.064 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (-1.154 -1.15)71.25% (1.149 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.41%
    Crawley Town 23.61%
    Draw 23.97%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.336 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.29 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.41%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.61%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Crawley
3-1
Stevenage
Forster (50'), Quitirna (87'), Doyle (90+3')
Ibrahim (14')
Hanlan (53')
Piergianni (47'), Phillips (54'), Sweeney (63'), Thompson (89')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-1
Crawley
Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Telford (89' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')