League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 4
Peterborough

Quitirna (12'), Kelley (33'), Hepburn-Murphy (49')
Ibrahim (18'), Mullarkey (19'), Quitirna (36'), Adeyemo (89')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Odoh (22', 29', 42'), Jade-Jones (90+7' pen.)
Odoh (44'), Johnston (44'), Collins (45+2'), Steer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 0-4 Crawley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Peterborough United
32.22% ( 0.56)	24.33% ( 0.1)	43.45% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 59.07% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.24)

43.5% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.1% (

-0.24)

65.89% (

0.24)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

0.23)

26.01% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

0.31)

61.03% (

-0.31)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0.39)

20.17% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-0.63)

52.46% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 32.22%

Peterborough United 43.45%

Draw 24.33%

Crawley Town	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.22%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.45%