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Burton Albion
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Stevenage
Stockport County
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Stockport County
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Stevenage

Stockport
3 - 0
Stevenage

Fevrier (25'), Wildin (50' og.), Diamond (72')
Horsfall (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kemp (38'), Butler (65'), Freestone (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stockport County and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage
Thursday, March 27 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawStevenage
48.14% (-0.276 -0.28)27.19% (0.084 0.08)24.67% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.29% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.151 -0.15)59.1% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.116 -0.12)79.54% (0.117 0.12)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.196 -0.2)24.65% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.277 -0.28)59.17% (0.278 0.28)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (0.091000000000001 0.09)39.9% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (0.084 0.08)76.56% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.14%
    Stevenage 24.67%
    Draw 27.19%
Stockport CountyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.14%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.84% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.67%

How you voted: Stockport vs Stevenage

Stockport County
84.4%
Draw
9.4%
Stevenage
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-1
Stockport
Kemp (22'), Reid (55' pen.)
Roberts (43'), Thompson (45'), Butler (62')
Camps (26')
Camps (40'), Bate (60'), Hinchliffe (67')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
2-0
Stevenage
Collar (34'), Rydel (90+5')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Stevenage
2-1
Stockport
Norris (88' pen.), Reid (90+5')
Rose (85')
Camps (58')
Palmer (10'), Horsfall (66'), Sarcevic (75')
Palmer (87')
Apr 9, 2011 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Stevenage
Tansey (67' pen.), Paterson (70')
Tansey (76')
Wilson (90'), Roberts (56')
Aug 21, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
3-1
Stockport
Bostwick (43'), Griffin (29', 71')
Mousinho (41')
Donnelly (90')
Tansey (77')