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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Stevenage |
| 48.14% ( | 27.19% ( | 24.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( | 59.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( | 79.54% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( | 24.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( | 39.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.44% ( | 76.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.07% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.67% |