Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.