League One Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgeley Park
  • Jayden Fevrier 25' goal
  • Luther Wildin 50' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 66' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 72' goal
  • yellowcard Dan Kemp 38'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 81'

Stockport County vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 12.30pm
Stockport 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Louie Barry

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 27, 2025 8.00pm
Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result

Stockport County 48.14% (+0.03)
Draw 27.19% (-0.01)
Stevenage 24.67% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.29% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.91% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 59.1% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 20.46% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.54% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.6% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.4% (-0.01)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5 75.35% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.65% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.17% (-0.03)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 60.1% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.9%
Over 1.5 23.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.56%

Score analysis

Stockport County 48.14%
Draw 27.19%
Stevenage 24.67%
Stockport County
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.19%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.67%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Dan Kemp 22' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 43' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thompson 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie Reid 55' goal
  • Dan Butler 62' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Camps 26'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 40'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 60'
  • yellowcard Ben Hinchliffe 67'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgeley Park
  • Will Collar 34' goal
  • Ryan Rydel 90'+5' goal
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Danny Rose 85' yellowcard
  • Luke Norris 88' goal
  • Jamie Reid 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Palmer 10'
  • goal Callum Camps 58'
  • yellowcard Fraser Horsfall 66'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 75'
  • redcard Ashley Palmer 87'
League Two
Apr 9, 2011 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Greg Tansey 67' goal
  • Matthew Paterson 70' goal
  • Greg Tansey 76' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Roberts 56'
  • goal Lawrie Wilson 90'
League Two
Aug 21, 2010 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Charlie Griffin 29' goal
  • John Mousinho 41' yellowcard
  • Michael Bostwick 43' goal
  • Charlie Griffin 71' goal
  • yellowcard Greg Tansey 77'
  • goal George Donnelly 90'