League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
2 - 1
Northampton

Berry (9'), Godden (71')
Coventry (12'), Gilbert (77'), Ramsay (85'), Aneke (90+6'), Small (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Costelloe (15' pen.)
McGowan (68'), McGeehan (90+6'), Dyche (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Reading
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Northampton Town
62.44% ( -0.96)	22.35% ( 0.58)	15.21% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 44.7% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64% (

-1.57)

52.36% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95% (

-1.37)

74.05% (

1.37)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.85)

16.26% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19% (

-1.57)

45.8% (

1.58)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.38% (

-0.41)

46.62% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.8% (

-0.32)

82.2% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 62.44%

Northampton Town 15.21%

Draw 22.35%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.81% Total : 62.44%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.26% Total : 15.21%