Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.