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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 28.52% ( | 25.22% | 46.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( | 71.26% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( | 54.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.24% |