League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 3
Reading

Perry (48')
Pierre (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wing (34'), Ehibhaimha (53'), Campbell (72')
Bindon (21'), Camara (39'), Savage (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Reading
33.06% ( -0.23)	26.73% ( 0.42)	40.2% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.35% (

-1.75)

53.65% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

-1.49)

75.15% (

1.49)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-1.02)

30.46% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

-1.23)

66.66% (

1.23)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

-0.9)

26.19% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

-1.22)

61.29% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 33.06%

Reading 40.2%

Draw 26.73%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.06%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.2%