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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 6.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 78.22% ( | 15.2% | 6.58% |
| Both teams to score 36.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( | 9.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.65% | 32.35% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.53% | 59.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.62% | 90.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 15.7% 1-0 @ 13.46% 3-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.16% 4-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 6.34% 4-1 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 3.32% 5-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.65% 6-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.58% Total : 78.21% | 1-1 @ 7% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.2% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 1.76% Total : 6.58% |