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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Birmingham
4 - 1
Shrewsbury

Davies (27', 27', 27'), Laird (61', 61'), May (77', 86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Oliver (87')
Wheeler (48'), Wheeler (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 6.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawShrewsbury Town
78.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.2%6.58%
Both teams to score 36.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.04% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)9.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.65%32.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.53%59.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.62%90.38% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 78.21%
    Shrewsbury Town 6.58%
    Draw 15.2%
Birmingham CityDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 15.7%
1-0 @ 13.46%
3-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.16%
4-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 6.34%
4-1 @ 3.7%
5-0 @ 3.32%
5-1 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.65%
6-0 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 78.21%
1-1 @ 7%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.2%
0-1 @ 3%
1-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 6.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Shrewsbury

Birmingham City
96.7%
Draw
3.3%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Shrewsbury
3-2
Birmingham
Pierre (31'), Marquis (38'), Bloxham (55')
Marquis (20'), Pierre (90+7'), Castledine (90+7')
Iwata (44'), Stansfield (75' pen.)
Anderson (30')
Oct 8, 2024 7.30pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Birmingham

Benning (64'), Perry (68'), Nsiala (69'), O'Reilly (87')
Wright (8', 38'), Iwata (29'), Hansson (71')
Leonard (68'), Davies (69'), Wright (69'), Klarer (73'), Khela (83')
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Club Friendlies 3
Shrewsbury
0-2
Birmingham
James (21')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Shrewsbury
1-0
Birmingham
Jones (85')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Shrewsbury
0-2
Birmingham
Thomas (2'), Donaldson (15')
rhs 2.0


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