League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
4 - 1
Shrewsbury

McGowan (26'), Costelloe (44', 83'), McGeehan (70')
Magloire (54'), Perry (59'), Dyche (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marquis (90+1')
Pierre (4'), Marquis (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Northampton
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wigan
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
45.21% ( 0.48)	26.99% ( -0.2)	27.81% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.47% (

0.61)

56.53% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.48% (

0.49)

77.52% (

-0.49)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.52)

24.92% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.71)

59.55% (

-0.71)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

0.11)

35.79% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

0.11)

72.57% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 45.2%

Shrewsbury Town 27.81%

Draw 26.99%

Northampton Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.2%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.81%