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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
1 - 1
Shrewsbury

Bayliss (4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pierre (23')
Gape (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-3 Reading
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
69.26% (0.064999999999998 0.06)20.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)10.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)53.67% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.041 -0.04)75.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.47% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.9% (-0.124 -0.12)55.1% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.06% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)87.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 69.25%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.55%
    Draw 20.18%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 15.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 14.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.59% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 69.25%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 10.55%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Feeney (10')
Ainsworth (5'), Perry (28'), Feeney (34'), Benning (61'), Pierre (74')

O'Connor (4'), Erhahon (32'), Hackett (71'), Duffy (88')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
3-0
Shrewsbury
Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Lincoln
1-0
Shrewsbury
Virtue (72')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')