Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.