Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.