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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 32.21% ( | 29.14% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.42% ( | 62.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% ( | 82.16% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( | 35.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( | 72.45% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( | 31.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 3-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 38.63% |