League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 2
Wrexham

Cole (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rathbone (23'), Rodriguez (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Wrexham
32.28% ( 0.61)	26.9% ( -0.08)	40.83% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.53% (

0.48)

54.47% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

0.4)

75.83% (

-0.4)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

0.66)

31.4% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

0.76)

67.77% (

-0.77)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.06)

26.24% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.08)

61.35% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 32.28%

Wrexham 40.82%

Draw 26.89%

Exeter City	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.82%