League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mitchell (8'), MacDonald (49')
Francis (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowery (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Mansfield Town
28.49% ( 1.39)	26.08% ( 1.01)	45.43% ( -2.4)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3% (

-3.27)

52.7% (

3.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66% (

-2.87)

74.34% (

2.86)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78% (

-0.65)

33.21% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.17% (

-0.72)

69.82% (

0.72)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

-2.44)

23.13% (

2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

-3.71)

57% (

3.71)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 28.49%

Mansfield Town 45.42%

Draw 26.07%

Exeter City	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.49%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.5) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.42%