/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
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Demetri Mitchell
8'
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Angus MacDonald
49'
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Edward Francis
57'
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Jordan Bowery
38'
Exeter City vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Exeter City
28.49%
▲
(+1.39)
Draw
26.08%
▲
(+1.01)
Mansfield Town
45.43%
▼
(-2.40)
Both Teams to Score:
51.33%
▼
(-2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.3%
▼
(-3.27)
Under 2.5
52.7%
▲
(+3.27)
Over 3.5
25.66%
▼
(-2.87)
Under 3.5
74.34%
▲
(+2.87)
Over 4.5
11.77%
▼
(-1.89)
Under 4.5
88.22%
▲
(+1.89)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
66.78%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
33.21%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
30.17%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
69.82%
▲
(+0.72)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
76.86%
▼
(-2.45)
Under 0.5
23.13%
▲
(+2.44)
Over 1.5
42.99%
▼
(-3.71)
Under 1.5
57%
▲
(+3.71)
Score analysis
Exeter City
28.49%
Draw
26.07%
Mansfield Town
45.42%
Exeter City
1-0
@
8.47%
▲
(+0.91)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.49%
2-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.39%
▲
(+0.49)
0-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.95)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
0-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.95)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
Mansfield Town
0-1
@
11.24%
▲
(+0.64)
1-2 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.50)
0-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.38)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.33)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.32)
0-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.42%
1-2 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.50)
0-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.38)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.33)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.32)
0-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.42%
Ryan Sweeney
86'