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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Barnsley |
| 37.8% ( | 26.18% ( | 36.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( | 50.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( | 72.84% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( | 26.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( | 61.4% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% | 62.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.8% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3% Total : 36.02% |