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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
0 - 1
Bolton


McHugh (24'), Dale (27'), Smith (64'), Aimson (65'), Asamoah (72'), McManaman (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
33.58% (1.38 1.38)27.22% (0.247 0.25)39.2% (-1.625 -1.63)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.4 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.672 -0.67)55.49% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.552 -0.55)76.67% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.59 0.59)31.04% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.684 0.68)67.35% (-0.68300000000001 -0.68)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.209 -1.21)27.61% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-1.585 -1.59)63.14% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.57%
    Bolton Wanderers 39.2%
    Draw 27.22%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.333 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
65.2%
Draw
10.9%
Bolton Wanderers
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
0-2
Wigan

Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')