Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.