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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Wrexham |
| 29.9% ( | 27.74% ( | 42.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( | 78.96% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( | 35.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( | 71.88% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( | 62.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.44% ( 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.36% |