League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 0
Crawley

Stansfield (75'), Harris (81')

Barker (23'), Ibrahim (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, April 13 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 79.14%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 8.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Crawley Town
79.14% ( 0.35)	12.71% ( -0.15)	8.15% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.63% (

-0.03)

26.37% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.31% (

-0.04)

46.69% (

0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.77% (

0.05)

5.23% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.34% (

0.15)

20.65% (

-0.15)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.57% (

-0.49)

41.42% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

-0.43)

77.93% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 79.14%

Crawley Town 8.15%

Draw 12.71%

Birmingham City	Draw	Crawley Town
2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.51% Total : 79.14%	1-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.71%	1-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 8.15%