Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 79.14%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.