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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Barnsley

Birmingham
6 - 2
Barnsley

Stansfield (33' pen.), May (47', 55'), Harris (72'), Dowell (82'), Jutkiewicz (89')
Klarer (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 1 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw has a probability of 19.2% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
66.94% (-0.148 -0.15)19.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)13.8% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.604 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.544 0.54)42.21% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.543 0.54)64.61% (-0.544 -0.54)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.11800000000001 0.12)11.68% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.253 0.25)36.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.60700000000001 0.61)42.4% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.516 0.52)78.78% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 66.93%
    Barnsley 13.8%
    Draw 19.25%
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Barnsley

Birmingham City
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Barnsley
1-2
Birmingham
Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Barnsley
1-1
Birmingham
Styles (86')
Pedersen (89')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
rhs 2.0


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