League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Birmingham

O'Donkor (19')
Ward (48'), Shaw (56'), Sotiriou (84'), Taylor (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Anderson (3'), Stansfield (85' pen.)
Davies (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
13.58% ( 0.05)	20.14% ( 0.01)	66.27% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.3% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.36% (

0.06)

46.64% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

0.06)

68.91% (

-0.06)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

0.11)

45.5% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

0.09)

81.33% (

-0.09)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

-0)

13.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.08% (

39.91% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 13.58%

Birmingham City 66.26%

Draw 20.14%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.58%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.14%	0-2 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 66.26%