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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 24.97% ( | 24.28% ( | 50.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% ( | 69.93% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( | 33.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( | 70.01% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( | 18.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( | 50.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 3-0 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.97% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.76% ( 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.74% |