League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
1 - 2
Birmingham

Poku (23')

FT(HT: 1-2)

May (20'), Gardner-Hickman (37')
Harris (54'), Iwata (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 0-4 Northampton
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 6-2 Barnsley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Birmingham City
23.96% ( -2.9)	22.83% ( -0.72)	53.21% ( 3.62)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

0.67)

42.35% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.25% (

0.66)

64.75% (

-0.66)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

-1.93)

31.32% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

-2.3)

67.68% (

2.3)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

1.56)

15.92% (

-1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

2.79)

45.17% (

-2.79)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 23.96%

Birmingham City 53.21%

Draw 22.83%

Peterborough United	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.96%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.61) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.21%