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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Exeter City

Crawley
3 - 1
Exeter

Hepburn-Murphy (7', 23'), Camara (9')
Radcliffe (41'), Kelley (54'), Fraser (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Watts (25')
Watts (26'), Colwill (34'), Francis (54'), Hartridge (62')
Francis (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Crawley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Burton Albion
Friday, April 18 at 1pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Exeter City

Although Exeter have no serious motivation in the final rounds of 2024-25, the away side's form and history in this fixture mean Crawley are expected to settle for a point in West Sussex, thus all but confirming their relegation to League Two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
34.75%25.26%40% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 56.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 34.75%
    Exeter City 40%
    Draw 25.25%
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.75%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40%

How you voted: Crawley vs Exeter

Crawley Town
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Exeter City
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
4-4
Crawley
Alli (35'), Harper (60'), Woods (82'), Mitchell (90+3')
Bird (20'), Caldwell (21'), Watts (49'), Alli (89')
Camara (15'), Swan (37'), Showunmi (42'), Quitirna (45+1')
Elliott (0'), Ibrahim (65'), Mullarkey (78')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (73'), Scott (84')
Caldwell (0'), Aimson (51'), Diabate (81'), Rankine (90+8'), Richards (90+10')
Lolas (15')
Omole (18'), Mukena (40'), Henry (71'), Johnson (76'), Fish (81'), Lolas (90+3')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Dieng (31', 44')
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 32
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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