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Championship header 2

League One

Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Exeter City

Crawley
3 - 1
Exeter

Hepburn-Murphy (7', 23'), Camara (9')
Radcliffe (41'), Kelley (54'), Fraser (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Watts (25')
Watts (26'), Colwill (34'), Francis (54'), Hartridge (62')
Francis (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Crawley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Burton Albion
Friday, April 18 at 1pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
34.75%25.26%40% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 56.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 34.75%
    Exeter City 40%
    Draw 25.25%
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.75%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40%

How you voted: Crawley vs Exeter

Crawley Town
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Exeter City
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
4-4
Crawley
Alli (35'), Harper (60'), Woods (82'), Mitchell (90+3')
Bird (20'), Caldwell (21'), Watts (49'), Alli (89')
Camara (15'), Swan (37'), Showunmi (42'), Quitirna (45+1')
Elliott (0'), Ibrahim (65'), Mullarkey (78')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (73'), Scott (84')
Caldwell (0'), Aimson (51'), Diabate (81'), Rankine (90+8'), Richards (90+10')
Lolas (15')
Omole (18'), Mukena (40'), Henry (71'), Johnson (76'), Fish (81'), Lolas (90+3')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Dieng (31', 44')
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 32
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')