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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 35.19% ( | 26.27% ( | 38.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( | 51.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( | 73.24% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( | 28.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( | 63.66% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( | 26.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( | 61.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.54% |