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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Exeter

Sotiriou (70')
Sawyers (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Watts (11'), Cole (42')
McDonald (32'), Watts (56'), Whitworth (79'), McMillan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
35.19% (0.284 0.28)26.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.54% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (0.16799999999999 0.17)28.01% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.214 0.21)63.66% (-0.215 -0.22)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.166 -0.17)26.07% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.224 -0.22)61.13% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 35.19%
    Exeter City 38.54%
    Draw 26.27%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Exeter City
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Exeter
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')