League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 1pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 0
Burton Albion

McDonald (27'), Turns (55'), MacDonald (88')

Sweeney (33'), Lofthouse (64'), Chauke (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Burton Albion
46.61% ( -0.45)	25.84% ( 0.13)	27.55% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.69% (

-0.31)

52.31% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

-0.27)

74% (

0.27)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.33)

22.42% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

-0.5)

55.95% (

0.5)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

0.09)

33.74% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

0.1)

70.39% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 46.61%

Burton Albion 27.55%

Draw 25.83%

Exeter City	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.61%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.55%